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Terry's Crystal Ball: Who Will Win This Year's Edgar and Agatha Awards?

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<em>LJ</em>'s predictions for the 2010 Edgar and Agatha Awards

By Teresa Jacobsen, Solano County Library, Fairfield, CA -- Library Journal, 04/08/2010

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April showers bring May flowers— and lots of mystery awards. Librarian and LJ mystery reviewer Terry Jacobsen predicts the winners of this year's Edgar and Agatha Awards. Here's your chance to catch up on outstanding crime fiction you might have missed.

2010 Edgar Awards: Best Novel


Six titles vie for best novel, counting down to April 29’s announcement. What do these titles have in common? Great stories—beyond that, it’s a wild mix of style, nationalities, and protagonists.
  • Gautreaux, Tim. The Missing ( Knopf). In the literary crime corner, a novel of redemption set on Mississippi River steamboats and in the New Orleans region at the end of World War I.
  • George, Kathleen. The Odds (Minotaur: St. Martin’s). Like John Hart’s novel below, George’s Pittsburgh-based police procedural features children who’ve had to deal with too much. On LJ’s list of Best Mysteries of 2009, this series entry shines.
  • Hart, John. The Last Child (Minotaur: St. Martin’s). Previous Edgar winner Hart (for Down River) exudes a strong sense of place with his coming-of-age story set in North Carolina.
  • Nesbø, Jo. Nemesis (HarperCollins). This hefty thriller with a deeply flawed detective (is there any other kind?) is fairly new to English-language readers. Starred reviews and that Scandinavian darkness make this noteworthy.
  • Nunn, Malla. A Beautiful Place To Die (Atria: S. & S.). This debut procedural by an Australian screenwriter  is set in 1952 South Africa. Her protagonist is an Englishman—and this is the first in a series—attempting to find the real story behind another police officer’s murder.

Will Win: A Beautiful Place To Die. It feels authentic, has compelling characters, and a dynamic story. Okay, female authors don’t usually win this category, nor do non-American authors. I’m going out on a limb; this panel of judges shortlisted this one and will love talking about it. Outside Chance: Nesbø’s Nemesis might get the nod.

2010 Edgar Awards: Best First Novel by an American Author

I can’t wait for the next book by each and every one of these nominees—there’s not a one-hit wonder in the bunch.

  • Cristofano, David. The Girl She Used to Be (Grand Central). Cristofano’s intense novel about a Witness Protection Program victim scores high in the psychological drama department.
  • Gruley, Bryan. Starvation Lake (Touchstone: S. & S.). A disgraced journalist returns and inadvertently becomes part of a cold case investigation.
  • Gudenkauf, Heather. The Weight of Silence (MIRA: Harlequin). This debut is both suspenseful and poignant, with its cast of young characters. I admire its intricate plotting.
  • Littlefield, Sophie. A Bad Day for Sorry. (Thomas Dunne: St. Martin’s). Littlefield’s series opener deserves all its buzz, with its gritty take on a serious topic, quirky characters, and a memorable protagonist.
  • Locke, Attica. Black Water Rising (Harper: HarperCollins). Locke brings a screenwriter’s touch for dialog and pacing to her ambitious, Houston-based legal thriller.
  • Pintoff, Stefanie. In the Shadow of Gotham (Minotaur: St. Martin’s). The lone historical in this group has drawn multiple starred reviews and comparisons to Caleb Carr. It’s also nominated for an Agatha.
Will Win: Gruley’s Starvation Lake. It’s easy to sell in two sentences, got starred reviews in LJ (also on the Best Books of the Year list), PW, and Booklist, and has been compared to Dennis Lehane’s Mystic River. Mix in a sympathetic but flawed hero, plus the unexpected hockey angle. Outside Chance:  Pintoff’s In the Shadow of Gotham.

2009 Agatha Awards: Best Novel

The Agatha Awards have more of a “People’s Choice” feel because all Malice Domestic attendees can vote on the ballot, which  offers readers a fine spectrum of traditional mysteries. Winners will be announced at the Agatha Awards banquet May 1.
  • Andrews, Donna. Swan for the Money (Minotaur: St. Martin’s). Andrews is the Meryl Streep of this group with six nominations and one win thus far; will this tale of rose growers be the choice?
  • Barrett, Lornal. Bookplate Special (Berkley Prime Crime). A cozy but issue-packed third series entry.
  • Bowen, Rhys. Royal Flush (Berkley Prime Crime). Set in the early 1930s and featuring a penniless heiress, the third title in Bowen’s snappy new series features a can-do attitude that might resonate with readers in our current economic times.
  • Penny, Louise. The Brutal Telling (Minotaur: St. Martin’s). Penny could easily win because her latest is stunning and starred everywhere. But she’s won for the last two years.
  • Ryan, Hank Phillippi. Air Time (MIRA: Harlequin). This is also the third title in Ryan’s Charlotte McNally series, for which she won Best First Novel two years ago.

Will Win: Bowen for Royal Flush. The first-person wit coupled with an attentive eye for detail set in a decade that engages our interests will garner votes. Bowen is Toastmaster for this year’s event as well, and sentiment might provide the final votes for her. Outside Chance: Penny for The Brutal Telling.

2009 Agatha Awards: Best First Novel

So many moods, and yet they’re all mysteries in the traditional sense.

  • Bork, Lisa. For Better, for Murder (Midnight Ink). Set against the promising backdrop of New York’s Finger Lakes region, this “Broken Vows” series launch mixes crime and romance.
  • Bradley, Alan. The Sweetness at the Bottom of the Pie (Delacorte). Bradley’s best-selling debut has already scored a Dilys Award. Flavia, the precocious lead, captures the reader’s attention without being cloying.
  • Cole, Meredith Posed for Murder (Minotaur: St. Martin’s). The chilling life-imitating-art plot involving a Brooklyn-based photographer already won the Minotaur/Malice Domestic Best First Traditional Mystery Novel competition.
  • Duncan, Elizabeth. The Cold Light of Mourning (Minotaur: St. Martin’s). This tale about a bride murdered in her Wales village was also a winner of the Minotaur/Malice Domestic contest.
  • Pintoff, Stefanie. In the Shadow of Gotham (Minotaur: St. Martin’s).With starred reviews and double nominations (Edgar and Agatha), will this be a winning historical in this category?
Will Win: The Sweetness at the Bottom of the Pie, for British setting, for word-of-mouth exposure, and for best meeting the criteria. Outside Chance: Cole’s Posed for Murder.




 

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